Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:21:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb560…a091
other · 27 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$5
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses14 / 12
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)26 / 27
History coverage128d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 1 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 22¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$3 -26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $15 −$3 -18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 +$9 +50%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 −$11 -82%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $21 +$7 +34%
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? Apr 25 $12 $0 -3%
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner Apr 20 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Mar 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 03 $5 $0 +2%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Mar 02 $8 −$3 -38%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Feb 28 $5 −$2 -33%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 202 Feb 10 $71 +$3 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 202 Feb 10 $2 −$1 -60%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 202 Feb 10 $58 +$10 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 202 Feb 10 $36 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 202 Feb 10 $29 +$8 +28%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 202 Feb 10 $6 +$1 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 202 Feb 10 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Feb 10 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Feb 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Feb 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Feb 06 $6 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 74% +$13
sports 14% +$3
crypto 7% −$7
world 5% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 9m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 95¢ $11 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 51¢ $8 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 67¢ $10 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 68¢ $12 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 82¢ $15 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 30¢ $6 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 21¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 28¢ $4 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 67¢ $0 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 65¢ $4 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 46¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $1 8h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 93¢ $26 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $15 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $11 30h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 94¢ $14 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 93¢ $14 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $21 2d
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 81¢ $12 49d
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 84¢ $4 50d
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $8 50d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -8.2% -16.9% 44% 33% -9.4%
≤30d 9 -8.2% -16.9% 44% 33% -9.4%
≤90d 12 -18.0% -25.8% 33% 25% -16.2%
all 26 -13.5% -21.7% 54% 27% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.7% 27% -8.3%
10% -29.2% 12% -17.0%
15% -36.1% 4% -25.0%
20% -42.3% 4% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.72 · official $1.73 (match) · 76 history records