Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:43:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb575…d35b
sports · 321 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$2,314 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,791 · open −$156
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$465
Realized+$1,791
Unrealized−$156
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses119 / 198
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$1,128
Open positions4
Markets (closed)317 / 321
History coverage248d
Avg bet$187
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,723
7 days−$3,571
14 days+$302
30 days+$2,521
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco Monaco 48¢ 81¢ $193 $326 +$133 (+69%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 18¢ 10¢ $149 $79 −$70 (-47%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 44¢ 18¢ $143 $60 −$83 (-58%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-18? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs Betclic Apogee Esports 40¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 40¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 37¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 30¢ 0¢ $449 $0 −$449 (-100%)
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 46¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 39¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 19¢ 0¢ $324 $0 −$324 (-100%)
Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 48¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanaka Taiyo Yamanaka 42¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan Enzo Aguiard 42¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 46¢ 0¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season KRÜ Blaze 19¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Athletics 51¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ 0¢ $517 $0 −$517 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 49¢ 0¢ $161 $0 −$161 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Edas Butvilas 36¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 42¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko Anna Kalinskaya 16¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Sara Bejlek 32¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $99 +$96 +97%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Jun 14 $99 −$97 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $99 −$98 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $555 +$94 +17%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $141 −$138 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $157 +$179 +114%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 14 $207 −$126 -61%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $130 +$147 +114%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $169 −$166 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $225 −$221 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $334 +$218 +65%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $202 +$132 +65%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $648 −$635 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $152 −$149 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $159 −$155 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $203 −$199 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $196 −$192 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $202 −$198 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $151 −$86 -57%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $442 −$109 -25%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $264 −$259 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $197 −$194 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $192 −$189 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $528 −$517 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $142 +$399 +281%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $200 −$197 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $506 −$494 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $397 +$452 +114%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $201 −$196 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $202 −$198 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $408 −$398 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $394 +$812 +206%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $303 −$297 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $737 −$318 -43%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $534 +$501 +94%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $458 −$450 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $273 −$267 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $162 −$85 -53%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $198 −$194 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $315 −$309 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $280 −$275 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $150 −$148 -98%
Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $100 −$98 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $201 −$196 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $179 +$212 +119%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $179 +$188 +105%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $153 −$150 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $197 +$288 +146%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $168 +$303 +180%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$2,585
world 5% −$607
other 2% −$325
culture 0% −$20
crypto 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 44¢ $146 44m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 18¢ $153 1h
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco BUY Monaco 48¢ $35 1h
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco BUY Monaco 47¢ $54 1h
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco BUY Monaco 48¢ $107 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur SELL Kamil Majchrzak 100¢ $196 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 43¢ $99 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 50¢ $99 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 50¢ $99 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $138 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 100¢ $279 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 28¢ $141 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 43¢ $122 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 42¢ $215 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 39¢ $207 8h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 100¢ $336 9h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) SELL Gen.G 39¢ $76 9h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 31¢ $28 10h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 30¢ $179 10h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 23¢ $156 10h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 32¢ $227 10h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $277 10h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $130 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 46¢ $157 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 47¢ $169 13h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 38¢ $225 18h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 10¢ $64 18h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 29¢ $183 18h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 31¢ $304 18h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 19¢ $93 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -17.8% -25.6% 33% 33% -27.1%
≤30d 280 -3.5% -12.7% 38% 38% -4.6%
≤90d 317 -5.8% -14.8% 38% 38% -6.3%
all 317 -5.8% -14.8% 38% 38% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 38% -6.3%
10% -22.9% 37% -15.3%
15% -30.4% 36% -23.5%
20% -37.2% 36% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $465.31 · official $465.31 (match) · 740 history records