Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:30:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb575…bfd5 crypto 134 markets active 24h ago coverage 16d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$63 (+4%) realized +$63 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate59%79W / 55L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day42.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$65
7 days+$16
14 days+$0
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 +1.3% -8.4% 61% 50% -7.6%
≤30d 134 -1.9% -11.3% 59% 50% -8.0%
≤90d 134 -1.9% -11.3% 59% 50% -8.0%
all 134 -1.9% -11.3% 59% 50% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 50% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 36% -16.8%
15% -27.5% 23% -24.8%
20% -34.6% 14% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses79 / 55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)134 / 134
History coverage16d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day42.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 134 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$15 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$10 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$11 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$17 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $41 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $41 +$4 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $25 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 703 history records