trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -33.6% | -39.9% | 50% | 25% | -45.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -14.8% | -22.9% | 68% | 42% | -21.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -14.8% | -22.9% | 68% | 42% | -21.1% |
| all | 19 | -14.8% | -22.9% | 68% | 42% | -21.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.9% | 42% | -21.1% |
| 10% | -30.3% | 26% | -28.6% |
| 15% | -37.0% | 16% | -35.5% |
| 20% | -43.2% | 0% | -41.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 16 | $65 | +$8 | +12% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$2 | -51% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 10 | $137 | −$137 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Jun 10 | $110 | +$5 | +5% |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$2 | +47% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $65 | +$32 | +49% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 08 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 05 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 05 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 04 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 04 | $57 | +$4 | +7% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | Jun 04 | $60 | +$4 | +7% |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Jun 01 | $20 | +$7 | +35% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | Jun 01 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $88 | +$21 | +24% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $135 | +$22 | +16% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 25 | $24 | +$1 | +6% |