Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T17:15:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
B5 0xb586…c125 crypto 1427 markets active 0h ago coverage 48d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 47d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$675 (+6%) realized +$675 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate69%982W / 445L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day41.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$230
7 days+$367
14 days+$431
30 days+$324
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$336
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 -3.0% -12.3% 67% 51% +0.1%
≤30d 334 -6.4% -15.3% 64% 52% -2.7%
≤90d 1427 -1.8% -11.2% 69% 61% -7.0%
all 1427 -1.8% -11.2% 69% 61% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 61% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 45% -15.9%
15% -27.4% 34% -24.1%
20% -34.5% 26% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$675
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses982 / 445
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1427 / 1427
History coverage48d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day41.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1427 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $7 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $7 −$6 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $7 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $53 −$52 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$3 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $53 −$26 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $105 +$19 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $13 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$9 +127%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $13 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $104 +$5 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 23 $7 −$6 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $23 −$22 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$4 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $7 −$6 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 23 $13 +$3 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 23 $35 +$25 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 23 $20 +$15 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 23 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $13 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 23 $13 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $35 −$11 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $52 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $52 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $52 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $53 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $52 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $26 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $53 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $13 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $22 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $52 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $52 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $52 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $13 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $52 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.04 (match) · 3500 history records