Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb595…5922
sports · 1304 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$18,310 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,412 · open −$102
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,833
Realized+$18,412
Unrealized−$102
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1265 / 1
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$509
Open positions33
Markets (closed)1266 / 1304
History coverage2d
Avg bet$467
Trades / day1016.1
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 33 History 1266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17,643
7 days+$18,412
14 days+$18,412
30 days+$18,412
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 99¢ 100¢ $1,133 $1,144 +$11 (+1%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ 100¢ $1,089 $1,099 +$10 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 98¢ 100¢ $821 $835 +$14 (+2%)
Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $821 $829 +$8 (+1%)
ITF Women Decatur: Completed Match: Kylie Collins vs Malaika Rapolu Yes 99¢ 90¢ $248 $226 −$22 (-9%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 99¢ 100¢ $104 $105 +$1 (+1%)
Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Ruth Roura Llaverias vs. Maileen Nuudi: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 99¢ 100¢ $60 $60 +$1 (+1%)
Set 1 Winner: Haita vs Andreescu Andreescu 99¢ 100¢ $41 $41 +$0 (+1%)
ITF Decatur: Kylie Collins vs Malaika Rapolu Malaika Rapolu 99¢ 100¢ $39 $39 +$0 (+1%)
Mazdrashki vs. Gima: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $59 $30 −$29 (-49%)
Mazdrashki vs. Gima: Match O/U 23.5 Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $30 +$30 (+0%)
Mazdrashki vs. Gima: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $59 $30 −$30 (-50%)
Gadamauri vs. Heide: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $50 $25 −$24 (-49%)
Gadamauri vs. Heide: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 49¢ $49 $24 −$25 (-51%)
Gadamauri vs. Heide: Match O/U 23.5 Over 99¢ 48¢ $40 $19 −$20 (-51%)
Dart vs. Rakhimova: Match O/U 23.5 Over 99¢ 87¢ $20 $17 −$2 (-12%)
Smith vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 76¢ $21 $16 −$5 (-24%)
Petr Brunclik vs. Vitaliy Sachko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Dudeney vs. Krueger: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Sonmez vs. Linette: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Sonmez vs. Linette: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Shelton vs. Giron: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Golubic vs. Swan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Dart vs. Rakhimova: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 90¢ $15 $13 −$1 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Georgii Kravchenko vs. Rudolf Molleker: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Kravchenko vs. Molleker: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $105 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Kravchenko (-1.5) vs Molleker (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Fierros vs Bidan Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Adams vs. Jeong: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Adams vs. Jeong: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: John Sperle vs Nikita Bilozertsev Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Mazdrashki vs Gima Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Llaverias vs. Nuudi: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $43 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Nuudi (-1.5) vs Llaverias (+1.5) Jun 12 $49 $0 +1%
Llaverias vs. Nuudi: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $49 $0 +1%
Llaverias vs. Nuudi: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $49 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Gadamauri vs Heide Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez Jun 12 $32 $0 +2%
Sergi Perez Contri vs. Yanis Ghazouani Durand: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $57 +$1 +1%
Contri vs. Durand: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $57 +$1 +1%
Contri vs. Durand: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $43 $0 +1%
Contri vs. Durand: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $57 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $5,617 +$383 +7%
Set Handicap: Friedsam (-1.5) vs Dittmann (+1.5) Jun 12 $57 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Jorge (-1.5) vs Broadus (+1.5) Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Adams (-1.5) vs Jeong (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Julia Adams vs. Ui Su Jeong: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Kasintseva vs. Gormaz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Persson (-1.5) vs Mair (+1.5) Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Gea vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Ha vs. Battesti: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Cordoba vs Maksimovic Jun 12 $78 +$1 +1%
Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Dayana Yastremska: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Dart vs. Rakhimova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $211 +$4 +2%
Dart vs. Rakhimova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $64 +$1 +2%
Dart vs. Rakhimova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $72 +$2 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Llaverias vs Nuudi Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Stefano D'agostino vs Carlos Giraldi Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Rybakina vs. Maria: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Rybakina vs. Maria: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $386 +$7 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Persson vs Mair Jun 12 $77 +$1 +1%
Cristian vs. Boulter: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Salkova vs. Kawa: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Weckerle (-1.5) vs Schuknecht (+1.5) Jun 12 $86 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Havlickova vs. Hennemann: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Havlickova vs. Hennemann: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $29 $0 +1%
Lucie Havlickova vs. Caijsa Hennemann: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Shevchenko vs. Mrva: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Krutykh (-1.5) vs Sakamoto (+1.5) Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Salkova vs. Kawa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Kravchenko vs. Molleker: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$18,268
other 0% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Gadamauri vs. Heide: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 99¢ $40 3m
Gadamauri vs. Heide: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 99¢ $49 3m
Kasintseva vs. Gormaz: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $20 5m
Mazdrashki vs. Gima: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 99¢ $59 5m
Gadamauri vs. Heide: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 7m
Mazdrashki vs. Gima: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $59 12m
Mandlik vs. Galfi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $6 15m
Rocha vs. Blanch: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 20m
Samuel vs. Holmgren: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $6 22m
Golubic vs. Swan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 22m
ITF San Gregorio: Elena Korokozidi vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon BUY Lucciana Perez Alarcon 99¢ $5 23m
Dudeney vs. Krueger: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 24m
Sonmez vs. Linette: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 30m
Set 1 Winner: Haita vs Andreescu BUY Andreescu 99¢ $41 32m
Set Handicap: Kravchenko (-1.5) vs Molleker (+1.5) BUY Kravchenko 99¢ $20 34m
Georgii Kravchenko vs. Rudolf Molleker: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 99¢ $50 34m
Sonmez vs. Linette: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 37m
Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $425 37m
Set 1 Winner: Fierros vs Bidan BUY Fierros 99¢ $41 41m
Arthur Gea vs. Mark Lajal: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 99¢ $15 41m
ITF Nyiregyhaza: John Sperle vs Nikita Bilozertsev BUY John Sperle 99¢ $5 45m
Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $99 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 98¢ $821 49m
Harriet Dart vs. Kamilla Rakhimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 99¢ $11 49m
Llaverias vs. Nuudi: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $49 50m
Llaverias vs. Nuudi: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 99¢ $43 50m
Llaverias vs. Nuudi: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 99¢ $49 50m
Set Handicap: Nuudi (-1.5) vs Llaverias (+1.5) BUY Llaverias 99¢ $49 50m
Ruth Roura Llaverias vs. Maileen Nuudi: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 99¢ $60 50m
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez BUY Luna Vujovic 99¢ $10 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1266 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 2% -6.8%
≤30d 1266 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 2% -6.8%
≤90d 1266 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 2% -6.8%
all 1266 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 2% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1016.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 2% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 0% -15.7%
15% -25.0% 0% -23.8%
20% -32.4% 0% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,833.43 · official $4,830.52 (match) · 3500 history records