Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb59a…f326
other · 8 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)5 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 3 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 36¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -7%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -13%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% −$2
sports 29% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 20m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 44m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 44m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 55m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 55m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 56m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 29h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 29h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $5 29h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 29h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 29h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $6 29h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-34.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -27.1% -34.1% 0% 0% -33.7%
≤30d 5 -27.1% -34.1% 0% 0% -33.7%
≤90d 5 -27.1% -34.1% 0% 0% -33.7%
all 5 -27.1% -34.1% 0% 0% -33.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.1% 0% -33.7%
10% -40.4% 0% -40.1%
15% -46.1% 0% -45.9%
20% -51.4% 0% -51.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.63 · official $7.82 (match) · 13 history records