Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb59d…e266
crypto · 446 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$491 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$500 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$92
Realized−$500
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses225 / 214
Open positions7
Markets (closed)439 / 446
Avg bet$10
Trades / day351.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 7 History 439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$324
7 days−$500
14 days−$500
30 days−$500
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 70¢ 92¢ $13 $17 +$4 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 67¢ 99¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+49%)
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Up 72¢ 90¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 61¢ 78¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+29%)
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 84¢ 95¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 60¢ 80¢ $6 $9 +$2 (+33%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Up 54¢ 92¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+69%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Down 23¢ 8¢ $10 $4 −$7 (-63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 23¢ 20¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-12%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$6 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$7 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$426
other 5% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 439 -9.3% -17.9% 51% 45% -20.4%
≤30d 439 -9.3% -17.9% 51% 45% -20.4%
≤90d 439 -9.3% -17.9% 51% 45% -20.4%
all 439 -9.3% -17.9% 51% 45% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover351.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 45% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 35% -28.1%
15% -33.0% 24% -35.0%
20% -39.5% 16% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.78 · official $91.78 (match) · 1355 history records