Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T06:53:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb5a4…445e crypto 32 markets active 16h ago coverage 24d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$346 (+0%) realized +$346 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate25%8W / 24L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown35%max
Avg bet$2,305per market
Trades / day39.7pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$174
7 days+$249
14 days+$479
30 days+$322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$127
sports 0% +$218
other 0% +$77
world 0% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +11.9% +1.2% 40% 40% +25.4%
≤30d 32 +3.1% -6.7% 25% 19% -9.1%
≤90d 32 +3.1% -6.7% 25% 19% -9.1%
all 32 +3.1% -6.7% 25% 19% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 19% -9.1%
10% -15.6% 19% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -23.8% 19% -25.8%
20% -31.3% 19% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 61% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$3,000) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -6% → late +13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
15.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$104 vs −$21 · ×4.89 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.63 per $1 lost it wins $1.63
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$346
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses8 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage24d
Avg bet$2,305
Trades / day39.7
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 32 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $124 −$122 -99%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 18 $67 +$316 +474%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $21 −$20 -97%
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $81 +$79 +97%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $101 +$95 +93%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $101 +$55 +55%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $49 −$48 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $56 −$55 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $105 +$95 +90%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? Jun 09 $8,276 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 8? Jun 08 $19,939 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 08 $207 +$193 +93%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 6? Jun 05 $9,889 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 6? Jun 05 $396 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 5? Jun 04 $5,281 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4? Jun 04 $2,520 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 4? Jun 03 $5,410 $0 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2? Jun 03 $8,942 −$2 -0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1? Jun 01 $3,300 −$1 -0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 31? Jun 01 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 31? May 31 $3,000 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 27 $155 −$150 -97%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 27? May 27 $1,350 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 27? May 27 $600 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26? May 27 $2,502 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 26? May 26 $100 $0 -0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 25? May 25 $840 $0 -0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25? May 25 $60 $0 -0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25? May 25 $95 −$2 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $124 15h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 40h
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $67 40h
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $81 2d
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 51¢ $101 3d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $101 4d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $101 5d
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $49 6d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 6d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 6d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $56 8d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $260 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $100 10d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $360 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 981 history records