Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5a9…5a84
other · 11 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$243 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$236 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$97
Realized−$236
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses1 / 6
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)7 / 11
History coverage856d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit27%
Chart Positions 4 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$190
7 days−$190
14 days−$190
30 days−$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $40 $37 −$3 (-8%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $23 $21 −$3 (-11%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $21 −$3 -13%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 +$36 +176%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $200 −$158 -79%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $101 −$5 -5%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Fed rate cut by March 20? Feb 08 $47 −$47 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% −$227
sports 22% +$31
economics 8% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 9¢ $24 15m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 16m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 16m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 7¢ $21 18m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $21 19m
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 5¢ $18 19m
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 5¢ $21 19m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 74¢ $56 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 13¢ $42 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 3h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? SELL Yes 63¢ $96 3h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 65¢ $101 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $31 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $31 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $20 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $99 4h
Fed rate cut by March 20? BUY Yes 15¢ $47 856d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-38.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -20.1% -27.7% 17% 17% -52.2%
≤30d 6 -20.1% -27.7% 17% 17% -52.2%
≤90d 6 -20.1% -27.7% 17% 17% -52.2%
all 7 -31.5% -38.1% 14% 14% -57.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.1% 14% -57.2%
10% -44.0% 14% -61.3%
15% -49.4% 14% -65.0%
20% -54.4% 14% -68.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $97.20 · official $97.20 (match) · 17 history records