Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:21:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5aa…342c
crypto · 173 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$67
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses19 / 148
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)167 / 173
History coverage142d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 6 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Paraguay leading at halftime? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17? No 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 25? No 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 12? No 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on February 1? Up 26¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 5? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 29? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 16? No 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 4AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 16? No 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 2? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$8 -81%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +96%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 16? Apr 15 $20 −$18 -93%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16? Apr 15 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 27? Apr 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $10 −$3 -34%
Human moon landing in 2026? Apr 15 $20 −$6 -29%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 1? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 29? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 8? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 4? Apr 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3? Apr 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 22? Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 19? Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 8? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28? Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 24? Apr 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 16? Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 24? Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 15? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 28? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 20? Apr 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27? Apr 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24? Apr 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 17? Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on February 28? Apr 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 25? Apr 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 2-8? Apr 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 25? Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1? Apr 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 29? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 18? Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 19? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 18? Apr 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 12? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 23? Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 15? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 13 Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 14? Apr 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 21? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 12? Apr 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 28? Apr 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 17? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$83
other 15% +$13
sports 3% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $17 7m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 26¢ $6 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 94¢ $20 1h
Paraguay leading at halftime? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 16? BUY Yes 3¢ $20 58d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 58d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $7 58d
Human moon landing in 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $14 58d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 63d
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 5? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 68d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 4? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 70d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 4? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 70d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 73d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 1? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 73d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 73d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 31? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 73d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 73d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 73d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 75d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 75d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 75d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 29? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 76d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 29? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 76d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-42.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +7.7% -2.6% 50% 50% -3.1%
≤30d 2 +7.7% -2.6% 50% 50% -3.1%
≤90d 112 -70.8% -73.5% 4% 4% -67.0%
all 167 -36.4% -42.4% 11% 11% -24.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.4% 11% -24.1%
10% -47.9% 11% -31.3%
15% -53.0% 11% -38.0%
20% -57.6% 11% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.47 · official $32.47 (match) · 312 history records