Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:21:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb5ab…ca39 crypto 238 markets active 2d ago coverage 37d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$38 (-5%) realized −$38 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate19%46W / 192L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day19.5pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$72
14 days−$157
30 days−$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$194
other 1% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-24.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 +14.4% +3.5% 24% 21% -30.0%
≤30d 190 -18.8% -26.5% 23% 19% -41.2%
≤90d 238 -17.0% -24.9% 19% 16% -41.9%
all 238 -17.0% -24.9% 19% 16% -41.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.9% 16% -41.9%
10% -32.1% 13% -47.4%
15% -38.7% 13% -52.5%
20% -44.7% 10% -57.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -37% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -37% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -38% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.84 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses46 / 192
Open positions0
Markets (closed)238 / 238
History coverage37d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 238 Trades
no open positions (176 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$9 +841%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1900%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +152%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$10 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +39%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$12 +1900%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$12 +756%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$19 +1900%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$14 -37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +186%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 763 history records