Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5ad…4be9
crypto · 971 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses715 / 256
Open positions0
Markets (closed)971 / 971
History coverage16d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day167.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 971 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$114
7 days+$94
14 days+$3
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$34 +298%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$14 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$21 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$10 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 304 +7.5% -2.7% 75% 16% -5.8%
≤30d 971 +0.4% -9.1% 74% 23% -9.7%
≤90d 971 +0.4% -9.1% 74% 23% -9.7%
all 971 +0.4% -9.1% 74% 23% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 23% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 14% -18.3%
15% -25.8% 11% -26.2%
20% -33.0% 8% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records