Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:31:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb5e1…7de9 crypto 406 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3011 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$378 (-3%) realized −$378 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate55%227W / 188L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day3011.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$767
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3011 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 415 -8.1% -16.8% 55% 36% -15.3%
≤30d 415 -8.1% -16.8% 55% 36% -15.3%
≤90d 415 -8.1% -16.8% 55% 36% -15.3%
all 415 -8.1% -16.8% 55% 36% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3011.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 36% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 26% -23.4%
15% -32.1% 14% -30.8%
20% -38.7% 7% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$10 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$378
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses227 / 188
Open positions0
Markets (closed)415 / 406
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$32
Trades / day3011.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 415 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 10, 4PM ET? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 10, 12PM ET? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $68 −$68 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $9 +$29 +306%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $76 −$40 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $9 −$7 -77%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $4 +$6 +152%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $18 −$6 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $78 −$45 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $129 +$11 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$4 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $45 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $30 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $92 −$16 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $53 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $113 +$21 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $34 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $68 −$23 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 11, 9AM ET? BUY No 26¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 11, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 6d
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 11, 9AM ET? BUY No 14¢ $2 6d
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 11, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 86¢ $2 6d
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 11, 9AM ET? BUY No 17¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 11, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 70¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records