Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T15:46:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb5e7…650e crypto 669 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (149 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,844 (+40%) realized +$1,844 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -44% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -57% what you keep after slip
Net edge-57%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate11%116W / 927L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day149.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 23d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (149 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-49.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 432 -47.8% -52.7% 9% 8% -57.2%
≤30d 1043 -43.9% -49.2% 11% 9% -27.5%
≤90d 1043 -43.9% -49.2% 11% 9% -27.5%
all 1043 -43.9% -49.2% 11% 9% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover149.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.2% 9% -27.5%
10% ← realistic here -54.1% 7% -34.4%
15% -58.5% 6% -40.8%
20% -62.6% 5% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -44% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -57% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$2 · ×3.57 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.45 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,844
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses116 / 927
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1043 / 669
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day149.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1043 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET Jun 20 $0 +$3 +338825%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET Jun 20 $0 −$1 -33336%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 8AM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET Jun 20 $0 +$1 +3791%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records