Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5e8…c9bf
crypto · 777 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$126 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$126
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses379 / 398
Open positions0
Markets (closed)777 / 777
History coverage62d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day47.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 777 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$32
14 days−$23
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 03 $7 +$9 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 03 $10 +$7 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 03 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 21 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 21 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 21 $8 +$6 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 21 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 21 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 21 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 21 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 21 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 21 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 21 $4 +$5 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 21 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 21 $3 +$4 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 21 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 21 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 21 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 21 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 21 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 21 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 21 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -52.5% -57.0% 29% 19% -35.7%
≤30d 108 -24.3% -31.6% 38% 35% -22.4%
≤90d 777 -12.9% -21.2% 49% 40% -10.5%
all 777 -12.9% -21.2% 49% 40% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 40% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 31% -19.1%
15% -35.6% 25% -26.9%
20% -41.9% 21% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records