Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:09:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5e9…c62a
crypto · 1254 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$175 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$175 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$168
Realized+$175
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1060 / 194
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1254 / 1254
History coverage36d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day55.1
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$12
14 days−$272
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 815 +1.2% -8.5% 87% 9% -10.3%
≤90d 1254 +4.2% -5.7% 85% 8% -9.0%
all 1254 +4.2% -5.7% 85% 8% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 8% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 7% -17.7%
15% -23.0% 7% -25.7%
20% -30.5% 6% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $168.00 · official $168.00 (match) · 3500 history records