trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 20% | 20% | -7.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 14% | 14% | -8.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 14% | 14% | -8.0% |
| all | 16 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 44% | 12% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.3% | 12% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -21.6% | 6% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $36 | +$4 | +11% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 11 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 11 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 10 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 08 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Robert Morris vs. Alabama | Mar 21 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Northern Colorado vs. Weber State | Mar 21 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois | Mar 04 | $14 | −$1 | -10% |
| Toledo vs. Kent State | Mar 03 | $12 | +$3 | +30% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 25 | $12 | $0 | -3% |