Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:10:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5f1…a0b7
crypto · 862 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses578 / 284
Open positions0
Markets (closed)862 / 862
History coverage85d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 862 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +5.3% -4.8% 80% 80% -3.8%
≤30d 584 -2.4% -11.7% 65% 63% -10.5%
≤90d 862 -1.2% -10.6% 67% 64% -11.1%
all 862 -1.2% -10.6% 67% 64% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 64% -11.1%
10% -19.2% 50% -19.6%
15% -27.0% 33% -27.4%
20% -34.1% 21% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1509 history records