trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -26.0% | -33.1% | 44% | 44% | -35.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 54% | 46% | -33.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 54% | 46% | -33.3% |
| all | 28 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 54% | 43% | -7.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.4% | 43% | -7.0% |
| 10% | -16.3% | 36% | -15.9% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 21% | -24.0% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 14% | -31.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 38¢ | $500 | $383 | −$117 (-23%) |
| Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 4¢ | $200 | $376 | +$176 (+88%) |
| Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $200 | $153 | −$47 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$61 | +60% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $122 | −$120 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage | Jun 13 | $1,328 | −$1,300 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major | Jun 13 | $715 | +$278 | +39% |
| Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Jun 13 | $206 | −$200 | -97% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $866 | +$263 | +30% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $304 | +$71 | +23% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $509 | −$17 | -3% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $615 | −$333 | -54% |
| Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? | Jun 11 | $51 | −$4 | -8% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S | Jun 11 | $101 | +$22 | +21% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $101 | +$24 | +24% |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Dec 05 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | Dec 05 | $155 | −$24 | -15% |
| Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned? | Dec 05 | $500 | −$390 | -78% |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | Dec 05 | $500 | +$65 | +13% |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? | Dec 05 | $200 | +$591 | +296% |
| Will Biden pardon Trump? | Dec 05 | $1,000 | +$5 | +0% |
| Trump declassifies Diddy list? | Dec 05 | $2,000 | −$1,097 | -55% |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | Dec 05 | $1,000 | +$446 | +45% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Dec 05 | $1,890 | −$124 | -6% |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | Dec 05 | $2,700 | −$96 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | Nov 16 | $85 | −$85 | -100% |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Nov 16 | $1,286 | +$755 | +59% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | Nov 16 | $2,115 | +$1,410 | +67% |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | Nov 16 | $1,000 | +$286 | +29% |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | Nov 15 | $2,000 | +$115 | +6% |