trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +15.1% | +4.1% | 71% | 57% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +15.1% | +4.1% | 71% | 57% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +15.6% | +4.6% | 75% | 62% | -7.8% |
| all | 9 | +13.9% | +3.0% | 67% | 56% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.0% | 56% | -7.8% |
| 10% | -6.8% | 33% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -15.8% | 0% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -24.1% | 0% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $73 | $73 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 84¢ | $57 | $55 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $56 | $54 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 11 | $17 | $0 | -1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | Jun 11 | $4 | +$1 | +30% |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | May 05 | $4 | +$1 | +19% |
| Based FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Feb 28 | $2 | $0 | -0% |