Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:34:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb5fa…c269
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$4 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $22 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% +$7
sports 33% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +10.5% -0.0% 80% 60% -4.0%
≤30d 5 +10.5% -0.0% 80% 60% -4.0%
≤90d 5 +10.5% -0.0% 80% 60% -4.0%
all 5 +10.5% -0.0% 80% 60% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.0% 60% -4.0%
10% -9.6% 20% -13.2%
15% -18.3% 20% -21.6%
20% -26.3% 0% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 14 history records