Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T13:49:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
B5 0xb5fa…7b2a crypto 5 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -3% what you keep after slip
Net edge-3%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate100%5W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day5.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +11.9% +1.2% 100% 20% +1.3%
≤30d 5 +11.9% +1.2% 100% 20% +1.3%
≤90d 5 +11.9% +1.2% 100% 20% +1.3%
all 5 +11.9% +1.2% 100% 20% +1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.2% 20% +1.3%
10% -8.5% 20% -8.4%
15% -17.3% 20% -17.2%
20% -25.4% 0% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 71% · top 2 81% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +12% too few recent
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses5 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 15 history records