Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T20:42:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B6 0xb600…4440 sports 331 markets active 0h ago coverage 98d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,744 (-5%) realized −$2,744 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate50%166W / 165L
Whale WR54%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$152per market
Trades / day13.6pace
Fees−$911est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$636
7 days−$618
14 days−$847
30 days−$2,953
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 95% −$2,475
other 4% −$1,739
crypto 1% −$111
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -1.8% -11.1% 58% 54% -19.9%
≤30d 95 -10.4% -18.9% 49% 44% -21.0%
≤90d 303 -10.3% -18.8% 49% 41% -17.1%
all 331 -8.7% -17.4% 50% 42% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.4% 42% -17.0%
10% -25.3% 35% -24.9%
15% -32.5% 28% -32.2%
20% -39.1% 22% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 54% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -4% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$75 vs −$102 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

98d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,744
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses166 / 165
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$911
Open positions0
Markets (closed)331 / 331
History coverage98d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day13.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 331 Trades
no open positions (100 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner Jun 27 $309 +$133 +43%
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner Jun 27 $231 +$118 +51%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW - Map 2 Winner Jun 27 $272 +$194 +71%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW - Map 1 Winner Jun 27 $115 −$115 -100%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime? Jun 27 $99 +$21 +21%
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 27 $227 +$76 +33%
Counter-Strike: DFX Peek vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Séri Jun 27 $120 +$80 +66%
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 2 Winner Jun 26 $135 −$134 -99%
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 1 Winner Jun 26 $135 +$81 +60%
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 26 $28 +$71 +249%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winne Jun 26 $214 +$63 +29%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winne Jun 26 $37 −$37 -99%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $114 +$85 +75%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $90 +$11 +12%
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A Jun 25 $452 −$24 -5%
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournam Jun 25 $65 +$35 +54%
Counter-Strike: DEPO vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $195 +$7 +4%
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Gr Jun 22 $182 −$176 -97%
Counter-Strike: ENERGYULTRA vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Jun 22 $202 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: ENERGYULTRA vs ReThink - Map 2 Winner Jun 22 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 22 $233 +$134 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Jun 21 $525 +$148 +28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 21 $385 −$10 -3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 21 $219 −$199 -91%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $63 −$61 -98%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $849 −$833 -98%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 20 $746 −$730 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo Jun 20 $1,353 −$449 -33%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo Jun 20 $279 +$211 +76%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $321 +$310 +97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla Jun 19 $327 +$502 +154%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 19 $1,596 −$129 -8%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 18 $321 −$314 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 18 $489 −$471 -96%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 18 $94 −$79 -84%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 17 $503 +$255 +51%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $311 +$193 +62%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 17 $204 +$93 +45%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $285 −$285 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 17 $151 +$32 +22%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 17 $67 +$19 +28%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 16 $463 +$37 +8%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $98 +$42 +43%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $480 +$245 +51%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 16 $56 +$82 +148%
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 16 $39 −$38 -97%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 16 $43 −$42 -97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 16 $362 −$31 -8%
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 16 $121 −$27 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL Acend 99¢ $139 3m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner BUY Acend 76¢ $106 5m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 51¢ $6 7m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 51¢ $6 7m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 51¢ $15 7m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 51¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 51¢ $16 7m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 51¢ $3 7m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 51¢ $3 7m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 51¢ $68 7m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 71¢ $80 30m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 71¢ $13 30m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 71¢ $4 30m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 71¢ $4 30m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner SELL ECHO 71¢ $77 30m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner BUY ECHO 30¢ $60 48m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner BUY ECHO 39¢ $79 52m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner BUY ECHO 62¢ $63 58m
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner SELL ECHO 100¢ $350 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner BUY ECHO 65¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1417 history records