Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:29:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb603…c701
sports · 58 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$82 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$93 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$853
Realized+$93
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses11 / 34
Est. fees paid−$65
Open positions13
Markets (closed)45 / 58
History coverage1d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day218.8
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 13 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$93
7 days+$93
14 days+$93
30 days+$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 55¢ 55¢ $405 $404 −$1 (-0%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 51¢ 50¢ $104 $103 −$1 (-1%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 51¢ 50¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Gen.G 51¢ 50¢ $70 $68 −$2 (-3%)
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? Over 51¢ 48¢ $60 $57 −$3 (-5%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 38¢ 37¢ $53 $52 −$1 (-3%)
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 32¢ 31¢ $31 $30 −$1 (-3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 38¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 62¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-9%)
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner Carolina Royal Ravens 33¢ 32¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Team WE 49¢ 48¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 56¢ 48¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-15%)
Will South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 23¢ 26¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+13%)
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 65¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $179 +$127 +71%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $65 +$5 +7%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $324 −$305 -94%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $691 +$359 +52%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $148 −$148 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $252 −$252 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $268 +$293 +109%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $194 +$131 +67%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $528 +$17 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$7 -31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $25 $0 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $290 +$485 +168%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $12 +$11 +91%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $62 +$66 +105%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $29 +$14 +48%
Alexis Vega: 3+ shots Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $45 −$45 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $3 +$10 +344%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$115
other 7% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 32¢ $1 4m
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Team WE 49¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $4 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $15 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $15 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $15 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 52¢ $15 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 52¢ $7 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $15 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $15 1h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 33¢ $4 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 51¢ $33 3h
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? BUY Over 51¢ $61 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 51¢ $38 3h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Team WE 49¢ $3 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $17 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $7 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $90 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 38¢ $22 5h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 73¢ $3 5h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 59¢ $39 5h
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 65¢ $3 5h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 41¢ $2 5h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 38¢ $5 6h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $35 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $49 6h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 24¢ $6 6h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 23¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 58¢ $115 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 58¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-53.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -48.0% -53.0% 24% 20% -7.3%
≤30d 45 -48.0% -53.0% 24% 20% -7.3%
≤90d 45 -48.0% -53.0% 24% 20% -7.3%
all 45 -48.0% -53.0% 24% 20% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover218.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.0% 20% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here -57.5% 20% -16.2%
15% -61.6% 20% -24.3%
20% -65.3% 18% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $853.36 · official $853.36 (match) · 350 history records