Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T00:32:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
B6 0xb604…ebb4 other 40 markets active 11d ago coverage 81d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$15 (-0%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 40L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$416per market
Trades / day1.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit62%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$5
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
politics 34% −$8
crypto 21% −$6
other 16% −$2
world 14% −$2
tech 8% −$1
economics 7% −$2
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 17 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 37 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 40 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$1,005) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

81d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage81d
Avg bet$416
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 40 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 17 $62 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 17 $47 $0 -0%
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 17 $32 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 15 $49 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Jun 15 $35 $0 -0%
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 14 $1,281 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 14 $55 $0 -0%
Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $17 $0 -0%
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 14 $1,243 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $1,183 −$1 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $63 $0 -0%
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $17 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $1,169 −$3 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1,197 −$1 -0%
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $69 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $1,264 −$2 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $1,194 −$2 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 15 $55 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $25 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $23 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 12 $38 $0 -0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? May 12 $34 −$1 -3%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 11 $939 −$1 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 11 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? May 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 11 $942 −$1 -0%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 11 $1,022 −$1 -0%
Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 11 $52 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 11 $1,005 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? May 11 $990 −$2 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? May 10 $60 $0 -0%
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? May 10 $59 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? May 10 $908 $0 -0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $1,007 −$1 -0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Apr 03 $13 $0 -1%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 01 $142 $0 -0%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 01 $36 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 28 $151 $0 -0%
Netanyahu arrested by March 31? Mar 28 $64 $0 -0%
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? Mar 28 $24 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $62 10d
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $47 10d
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 10d
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 10d
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $28 10d
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $16 10d
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $16 10d
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $18 10d
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $32 10d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $49 12d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $26 12d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $23 12d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $12 12d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $23 12d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $35 12d
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,280 13d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $55 13d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 13d
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,266 13d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $28 13d
Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $17 13d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 13d
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 13d
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $987 13d
Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $17 13d
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $255 13d
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,243 13d
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $1,181 13d
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $63 14d
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $23 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 120 history records