Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:06:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb612…7f90
crypto · 16 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$67 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$65
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses4 / 11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)15 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day42.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65
7 days−$65
14 days−$65
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$54 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$45 +303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$52 +451%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$65
politics 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $60 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -14.9% -23.0% 27% 27% -33.6%
≤30d 15 -14.9% -23.0% 27% 27% -33.6%
≤90d 15 -14.9% -23.0% 27% 27% -33.6%
all 15 -14.9% -23.0% 27% 27% -33.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 27% -33.6%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 20% -39.9%
15% -37.1% 13% -45.7%
20% -43.3% 13% -51.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.50 · official $2.50 (match) · 43 history records