trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 40% | 32% | -24.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 40% | 32% | -24.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 40% | 32% | -24.8% |
| all | 26 | -29.2% | -36.0% | 38% | 31% | -26.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.0% | 31% | -26.1% |
| 10% | -42.1% | 31% | -33.2% |
| 15% | -47.7% | 31% | -39.6% |
| 20% | -52.8% | 27% | -45.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $33 | $33 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $22 | +$11 | +52% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$9 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $7 | +$4 | +57% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$5 | -75% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$2 | +85% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$15 | +250% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $40 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | Dec 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |