Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb615…6d93
crypto · 350 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$557 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$560 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$560
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses200 / 149
Open positions1
Markets (closed)349 / 350
History coverage16d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day87.7
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 349 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$231
7 days+$257
14 days+$509
30 days+$560
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 53¢ 46¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$19 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$56 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$28 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$73 +346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$17 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$24 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$46 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$31 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$23 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$557
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $19 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $21 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 +13.1% +2.3% 62% 61% +2.2%
≤30d 349 +7.3% -2.9% 57% 53% +0.5%
≤90d 349 +7.3% -2.9% 57% 53% +0.5%
all 349 +7.3% -2.9% 57% 53% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.9% 53% +0.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.2% 49% -9.1%
15% -20.7% 45% -17.9%
20% -28.5% 36% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.15 · official $22.43 · 1738 history records