trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $84 | $84 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $46 | $0 | −$46 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Spurs | 65¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $99 | −$14 | -14% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$22 | +109% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $47 | −$46 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$15 | -48% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 11 | $127 | +$13 | +10% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $87 | +$36 | +41% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 10 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $141 | +$72 | +51% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $495 | −$232 | -47% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $350 | +$92 | +26% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 21 | $20 | +$5 | +23% |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 21 | $20 | +$7 | +34% |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 21 | $20 | +$6 | +32% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21? | Apr 21 | $30 | −$10 | -34% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $309 | −$40 | -13% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $344 | +$47 | +14% |
| Will Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2026-04-20? | Apr 20 | $20 | +$6 | +32% |
| Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-20? | Apr 20 | $20 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? | Apr 20 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrel | Apr 20 | $20 | +$5 | +26% |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Moise Kouame | Apr 20 | $20 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 20? | Apr 20 | $20 | +$5 | +27% |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Apr 20 | $40 | +$5 | +13% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $299 | +$17 | +6% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 20 | $70 | +$21 | +30% |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $60 | +$18 | +31% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 19 | $238 | +$22 | +9% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 19 | $229 | +$9 | +4% |
| Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Tabur | Apr 19 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | Apr 19 | $216 | +$9 | +4% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $133 | +$84 | +63% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 19 | $102 | +$30 | +30% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 18 | $137 | +$12 | +9% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 18 | $81 | +$11 | +13% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Apr 15 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $72 | −$31 | -43% |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Apr 15 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 15 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Apr 14 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Apr 13 | $62 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13? | Apr 13 | $140 | +$23 | +16% |
| Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-13? | Apr 13 | $10 | −$9 | -95% |
| Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-04-13? | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovic | Apr 13 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Apr 13 | $400 | +$89 | +22% |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Apr 13 | $375 | +$39 | +10% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 12 | $10 | −$5 | -51% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Recrent vs Team Lixxx (BO3) - Winline Star Series | Apr 12 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Apr 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 50% | 33% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 50% | 33% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 88 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 62% | 49% | -6.9% |
| all | 251 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 63% | 51% | -3.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 51% | -3.3% |
| 10% | -19.9% | 36% | -12.5% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 20% | -21.0% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 11% | -28.7% |