Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:56:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb617…9a8a
crypto · 326 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$118 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$113 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$113
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses171 / 153
Open positions2
Markets (closed)324 / 326
History coverage2d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day966.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days−$113
14 days−$113
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $15 $26 +$11 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 60¢ 52¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$10 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$14 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$12 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$26 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 324 +3.0% -6.8% 53% 49% -11.0%
≤30d 324 +3.0% -6.8% 53% 49% -11.0%
≤90d 324 +3.0% -6.8% 53% 49% -11.0%
all 324 +3.0% -6.8% 53% 49% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover966.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 49% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 46% -19.5%
15% -23.9% 37% -27.3%
20% -31.3% 27% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.83 · official $19.68 · 2047 history records