Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:10:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B6 0xb619…0cf2 crypto 21 markets active 3d ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (88 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! limited sample (<25 closed)! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$17 (-5%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate57%12W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day87.6pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 83% −$11
crypto 16% −$10
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (88 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -20.0% -27.6% 43% 0% -12.9%
≤30d 21 -11.3% -19.8% 57% 19% -15.1%
≤90d 21 -11.3% -19.8% 57% 19% -15.1%
all 21 -11.3% -19.8% 57% 19% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 19% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 10% -23.2%
15% -34.4% 0% -30.7%
20% -40.9% 0% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 37% · top 2 57% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.28 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses12 / 9
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage4d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day87.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 21 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $20 −$2 -12%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $10 −$3 -31%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $121 −$4 -3%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $80 +$3 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -23%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$2 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 84¢ $9 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 90¢ $5 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 90¢ $5 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 15¢ $0 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 15¢ $0 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 15¢ $1 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 14¢ $1 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 14¢ $0 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 14¢ $0 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 14¢ $0 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 17¢ $0 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 17¢ $0 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 20¢ $5 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 20¢ $0 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 20¢ $5 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 20¢ $5 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 97¢ $1 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 97¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 99¢ $5 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 98¢ $2 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 88¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 93¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $0 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 90¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 366 history records