Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:16:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B6 0xb61b…e616 crypto 101 markets active 1h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$3,118 (-4%) realized −$4,935 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate48%62W / 68L
Whale WR64%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$721per market
Trades / day370.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,155
7 days−$4,429
14 days−$4,935
30 days−$4,935
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,890
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (370 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +0.4% -9.1% 48% 35% -16.0%
≤30d 130 -0.8% -10.2% 48% 35% -16.6%
≤90d 130 -0.8% -10.2% 48% 35% -16.6%
all 130 -0.8% -10.2% 48% 35% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover370.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 35% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 25% -24.6%
15% -26.7% 22% -31.9%
20% -33.9% 15% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 64% (≥$646) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +35% → late -36% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
19.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$267 vs −$316 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,935
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses62 / 68
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)130 / 101
History coverage9d
Avg bet$721
Trades / day370.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 130 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1,930 $0 −$1,930 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $576 $0 −$576 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $207 $0 −$207 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $361 $0 −$361 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1,536 $0 −$1,536 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2,923 $0 −$2,923 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $603 $0 −$603 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $290 $0 −$290 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1,336 $0 −$1,336 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1,493 $0 −$1,493 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $489 $0 −$489 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$24 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$10 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $94 −$94 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$68 +481%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $278 −$278 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$24 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $80 −$13 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $54 −$51 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$9 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $35 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $57 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$13 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $39 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $48 +$20 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$77 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$9 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$14 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$13 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $394 −$207 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $862 −$335 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records