Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb61c…ca53
crypto · 52 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$34 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses34 / 17
Open positions1
Markets (closed)51 / 52
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$39
14 days+$33
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 53¢ 78¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+46%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +119%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$4 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$5 +35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$5 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$4 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$22 +198%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $13 +$5 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$6 +208%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $13 +$11 +85%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +26%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $4 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 05 $8 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $8 −$8 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 05 $8 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 05 $8 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 05 $13 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 04 $4 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 04 $4 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$38
other 7% −$4
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 35m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 35m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 51m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 24h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $12 24h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 30h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 30h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 41h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 41h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +21.0% +9.5% 69% 69% +6.9%
≤30d 51 +13.7% +2.8% 67% 63% +0.9%
≤90d 51 +13.7% +2.8% 67% 63% +0.9%
all 51 +13.7% +2.8% 67% 63% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.8% 63% +0.9%
10% -7.0% 51% -8.7%
15% -16.0% 33% -17.5%
20% -24.2% 27% -25.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.46 · official $1.58 (match) · 113 history records