Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:25:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb630…6cb1
sports · 394 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$899 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$908 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$165
Realized−$908
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses301 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)12%
Est. fees paid−$155
Open positions1
Markets (closed)393 / 394
History coverage47d
Avg bet$112
Trades / day29.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 1 History 393 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$492
14 days−$463
30 days−$724
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 95¢ 100¢ $156 $165 +$9 (+6%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Under 89¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Score No 87¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Somerset 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Under 90¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Farés Ziam 75¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $42 $0 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $116 +$39 +34%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $175 −$58 -33%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $150 +$9 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $14 +$2 +12%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$6 -32%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $92 −$5 -6%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $107 −$107 -100%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $180 −$73 -41%
Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $44 −$44 -100%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $34 −$14 -42%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $34 +$5 +16%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $222 +$11 +5%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $288 +$18 +6%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $92 −$46 -50%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $97 +$2 +2%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $24 +$2 +10%
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens Jun 08 $218 +$27 +12%
Defensor Sporting vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $62 +$3 +5%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $417 +$8 +2%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $198 +$2 +1%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $84 +$5 +6%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $106 +$9 +8%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $89 +$3 +3%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $98 −$83 -84%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $86 +$12 +13%
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $94 +$6 +6%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $96 +$4 +4%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $70 +$1 +1%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $135 +$2 +1%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 07 $111 +$2 +2%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 07 $101 −$16 -16%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1,045 −$58 -6%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 07 $125 −$44 -35%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $46 $0 -0%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $92 +$11 +12%
Will Kagoshima United FC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $336 +$17 +5%
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. FC Imabari: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $323 +$13 +4%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $30 +$8 +26%
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $38 −$34 -88%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Jun 07 $72 −$61 -84%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Jun 07 $53 −$42 -79%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $15 −$15 -99%
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $316 +$13 +4%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $346 +$14 +4%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $80 +$20 +25%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 06 $36 +$13 +37%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $257 +$11 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$587
other 26% −$288
world 1% +$22
crypto 0% −$46
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 96¢ $42 59m
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL United States 81¢ $42 59m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 94¢ $114 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 80¢ $42 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $156 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $116 1h
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 64¢ $116 3h
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 96¢ $175 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 79¢ $0 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 79¢ $15 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 94¢ $150 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 79¢ $15 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 99¢ $15 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 88¢ $14 7h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 56¢ $14 8h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $20 8h
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $28 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $10 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $10 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $20 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $2 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $9 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $3 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 89¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $92 2d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $107 3d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 50¢ $107 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -12.0% -20.3% 66% 15% -13.2%
≤30d 266 -4.0% -13.2% 74% 16% -11.4%
≤90d 393 -3.4% -12.6% 77% 17% -11.3%
all 393 -3.4% -12.6% 77% 17% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 17% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 6% -19.8%
15% -28.6% 2% -27.5%
20% -35.6% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $164.95 · official $164.95 (match) · 1475 history records