trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 22% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 35% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 35% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 29 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 45% | 3% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 3% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 3% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 3% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -31.7% | 3% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $34 | $34 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 21 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $4 | $0 | -9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $48 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 15 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $48 | +$2 | +5% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 08 | $18 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 20 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 21 | $1 | +$1 | +68% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 19 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 17 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross more than 17m on opening weekend? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Arkansas win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 27 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +0% |