Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:20:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb64a…f2fa
crypto · 596 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24,282 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24,282 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$24,282
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses295 / 569
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)864 / 596
History coverage11d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day316.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 864 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24,752
7 days−$24,363
14 days−$24,282
30 days−$24,282
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $271 $0 −$271 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $184 −$184 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $218 −$218 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $271 −$271 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$31 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$20 +689%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$29 -290%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29? Jun 13 $10 −$24 -235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $139 −$139 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $132 −$132 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 28? Jun 13 $6 −$9 -147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$339
other 0% +$8
sports 0% +$7
weather 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 5m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $31 5m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $29 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $77 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $28 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $58 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $63 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $48 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $76 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $41 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $47 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $21 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $28 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $30 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $25 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $63 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $57 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-40.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 656 -46.5% -51.6% 26% 24% -63.5%
≤30d 864 -34.7% -40.9% 34% 30% -47.0%
≤90d 864 -34.7% -40.9% 34% 30% -47.0%
all 864 -34.7% -40.9% 34% 30% -47.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover316.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.9% 30% -47.0%
10% ← realistic here -46.6% 26% -52.1%
15% -51.7% 20% -56.7%
20% -56.5% 16% -60.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records