Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:53:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B6 0xb652…979f crypto 198 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%192W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day70.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -9.8%
≤30d 198 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -9.8%
≤90d 198 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -9.8%
all 198 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 1% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses192 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)198 / 198
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day70.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 198 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 401 history records