Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
B6 0xb660…3a72 crypto 350 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,090 (-2%) realized −$1,090 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate63%219W / 130L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$166per market
Trades / day22.3pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$105
7 days−$241
14 days−$241
30 days−$2,644
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,654
other 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -6.6% -15.5% 64% 49% -10.4%
≤30d 349 -11.9% -20.3% 63% 44% -13.7%
≤90d 349 -11.9% -20.3% 63% 44% -13.7%
all 349 -11.9% -20.3% 63% 44% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 44% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 31% -22.0%
15% -34.9% 20% -29.5%
20% -41.3% 13% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -14% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$50 vs −$105 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,090
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses219 / 130
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)349 / 350
History coverage27d
Avg bet$166
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 349 Trades
no open positions (71 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $232 +$16 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $469 +$71 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $237 +$19 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $500 −$259 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $255 +$70 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $605 +$21 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $413 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $392 −$300 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $397 +$63 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $135 −$130 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $157 +$26 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $124 −$77 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $306 +$54 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $331 −$320 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $217 −$110 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $228 +$32 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $153 −$150 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $463 +$114 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $151 +$14 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $182 +$29 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $369 +$115 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $185 −$180 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $78 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $248 −$120 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $122 +$37 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $101 +$21 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $170 −$165 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $91 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $42 +$56 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $82 +$51 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $148 +$61 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $63 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $230 +$103 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $161 +$20 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $370 −$115 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $469 +$707 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $43 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $83 +$107 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $84 −$80 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $189 +$388 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $31 −$29 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $697 −$680 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $143 −$140 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $707 +$106 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $214 −$210 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $141 +$9 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $247 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $232 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $256 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $234 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $283 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $235 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $257 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $237 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $193 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $307 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $126 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $182 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $129 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $301 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $313 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $304 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $366 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $306 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $142 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $305 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $88 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $135 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $132 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $132 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $132 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $172 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 966 history records