Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:21:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
B6 0xb668…6998 crypto 334 markets active 2h ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$39 (+2%) realized +$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate60%200W / 134L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day35.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$53
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 +3.6% -6.3% 61% 61% -6.0%
≤30d 334 +1.3% -8.3% 60% 60% -9.1%
≤90d 334 +1.3% -8.3% 60% 60% -9.1%
all 334 +1.3% -8.3% 60% 60% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover35.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 60% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 60% -17.8%
15% -25.1% 60% -25.8%
20% -32.4% 60% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$6 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses200 / 134
Open positions0
Markets (closed)334 / 334
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day35.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 334 Trades
no open positions (134 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 534 history records