Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:03:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb66d…7ec1
crypto · 398 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15,359 -53%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,349 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15,349
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses175 / 438
Open positions1
Markets (closed)613 / 398
History coverage18d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day183.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 613 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,986
7 days−$15,167
14 days−$15,648
30 days−$15,349
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $231 $0 −$231 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $231 −$231 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $377 −$377 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $375 −$370 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $235 −$235 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $186 −$186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $216 −$216 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $268 −$268 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$672
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $21 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $22 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $56 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $16 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $7 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-40.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 365 -50.3% -55.0% 18% 15% -61.2%
≤30d 613 -34.1% -40.3% 29% 25% -41.2%
≤90d 613 -34.1% -40.3% 29% 25% -41.2%
all 613 -34.1% -40.3% 29% 25% -41.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover183.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.3% 25% -41.2%
10% ← realistic here -46.1% 23% -46.8%
15% -51.3% 20% -52.0%
20% -56.0% 18% -56.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.19 · official $0.19 (match) · 3500 history records