Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T04:14:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B6 0xb66e…47c5 sports 101 markets active 1h ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$463 (+10%) realized +$463 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +43% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +10% what you keep after slip
Net edge+10%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate75%76W / 25L
Drawdown3%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day81.6pace
Fees−$83est.
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$183
7 days+$390
14 days+$440
30 days+$440
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 65% +$355
other 34% +$81
world 1% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)+29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +38.4% +25.3% 77% 15% +0.7%
≤30d 101 +42.9% +29.3% 75% 16% -1.0%
≤90d 101 +42.9% +29.3% 75% 16% -1.0%
all 101 +42.9% +29.3% 75% 16% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover81.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +29.3% 16% -1.0%
10% ← realistic here +17.0% 10% -10.5%
15% +5.7% 7% -19.1%
20% -4.7% 5% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 53% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +43% · $-wt +10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +38% → late +48% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$4 · ×1.82 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×5.53 per $1 lost it wins $5.53
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$463
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses76 / 25
Est. fees paid−$83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)101 / 101
History coverage11d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day81.6
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 101 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? Jun 28 $50 +$1 +3%
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score Jun 28 $64 +$1 +1%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 28 $50 −$4 -7%
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal? Jun 28 $35 +$13 +37%
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score Jun 27 $90 +$153 +170%
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran? Jun 27 $50 +$5 +9%
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score Jun 27 $72 −$1 -2%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score Jun 27 $106 +$3 +3%
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 27 $20 −$8 -42%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 26 $223 +$7 +3%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 26 $182 +$5 +2%
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score Jun 26 $80 +$8 +10%
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States? Jun 26 $22 +$1 +5%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 26 $33 +$1 +4%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 26 $40 +$1 +3%
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score Jun 26 $85 +$2 +2%
Spread: Japan (-1.5) Jun 26 $80 +$4 +5%
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score Jun 26 $41 +$6 +14%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 25 $12 −$3 -27%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 25 $40 +$2 +6%
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) Jun 25 $24 +$1 +4%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 25 $60 +$130 +216%
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score Jun 25 $31 $0 +2%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 25 $17 +$2 +13%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 24 $118 +$4 +3%
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score Jun 24 $68 −$1 -1%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 24 $142 +$12 +8%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 24 $20 +$10 +48%
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score Jun 24 $30 +$2 +7%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 24 $20 −$2 -11%
Spread: Colombia (-2.5) Jun 24 $69 +$1 +2%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 24 $20 +$2 +10%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 23 $25 $0 +1%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 23 $20 −$3 -16%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 23 $192 +$10 +5%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 23 $20 +$3 +16%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 23 $65 $0 -0%
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 23 $12 +$3 +25%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 23 $105 −$10 -9%
Spread: Norway (-2.5) Jun 23 $60 +$1 +2%
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 23 $86 +$2 +3%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 22 $93 +$6 +6%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 Jun 22 $25 +$6 +24%
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score Jun 22 $101 +$6 +6%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 22 $20 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 22 $162 +$9 +6%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 22 $20 $0 +1%
Spread: Egypt (-1.5) Jun 22 $20 −$3 -16%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 22 $30 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 32¢ $4 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 32¢ $17 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 32¢ $4 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 34¢ $5 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 34¢ $3 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 34¢ $0 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 34¢ $12 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? BUY Yes 32¢ $0 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? SELL Yes 34¢ $6 56m
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? BUY Yes 32¢ $50 56m
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 96¢ $51 1h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 94¢ $50 1h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 63¢ $14 1h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 64¢ $2 1h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 64¢ $7 1h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 64¢ $4 1h
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) SELL Argentina 48¢ $47 1h
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) BUY Argentina 51¢ $17 1h
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) BUY Argentina 51¢ $13 1h
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) BUY Argentina 50¢ $10 1h
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) BUY Argentina 50¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal? SELL Yes 62¢ $48 2h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal? BUY Yes 44¢ $35 2h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score SELL No 40¢ $155 5h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score BUY No 5¢ $5 5h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score BUY No 5¢ $1 5h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score BUY No 4¢ $11 5h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 42¢ $0 6h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 42¢ $87 6h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 42¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.11 · official $0.00 (match) · 904 history records