Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:03:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb676…7fb8
crypto · 754 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15,407 -51%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,407 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15,407
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses384 / 568
Open positions0
Markets (closed)952 / 754
History coverage19d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day170.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 952 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16,938
7 days−$17,236
14 days−$15,469
30 days−$15,407
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$27 -1646%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET Jun 13 $273 −$273 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,841
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $35 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $55 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $27 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $23 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $44 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 605 -44.9% -50.1% 29% 27% -66.2%
≤30d 952 -22.2% -29.6% 40% 39% -41.0%
≤90d 952 -22.2% -29.6% 40% 39% -41.0%
all 952 -22.2% -29.6% 40% 39% -41.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover170.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.6% 39% -41.0%
10% ← realistic here -36.4% 36% -46.7%
15% -42.5% 34% -51.8%
20% -48.2% 31% -56.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records