Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:07:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb67c…f4f0
other · 10 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$58 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$63 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized+$63
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)4 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 3 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63
7 days+$63
14 days+$63
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 34¢ 18¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $31 −$19 -62%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$67 +649%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $10 −$1 -9%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% −$3
sports 28% +$61
crypto 14% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 34¢ $10 52m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 11¢ $8 2h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06 BUY 13¢ $10 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 8¢ $12 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $15 4h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $77 5h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 9h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 45¢ $9 17h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 48¢ $10 22h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $21 22h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $9 34h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $11 34h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 28¢ $17 35h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $26 46h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+156.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +183.9% +156.9% 50% 50% +83.0%
≤30d 4 +183.9% +156.9% 50% 50% +83.0%
≤90d 4 +183.9% +156.9% 50% 50% +83.0%
all 4 +183.9% +156.9% 50% 50% +83.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +156.9% 50% +83.0%
10% +132.3% 50% +65.5%
15% +109.8% 50% +49.5%
20% +89.3% 50% +34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.88 · official $62.88 · 18 history records