trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -45.5% | -50.7% | 36% | 36% | -43.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -45.5% | -50.7% | 36% | 36% | -43.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -45.5% | -50.7% | 36% | 36% | -43.2% |
| all | 14 | -57.2% | -61.3% | 29% | 29% | -78.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -61.3% | 29% | -78.1% |
| 10% | -65.0% | 21% | -80.2% |
| 15% | -68.4% | 21% | -82.1% |
| 20% | -71.5% | 14% | -83.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 19¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-12%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $146 | −$145 | -99% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$5 | +22% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$16 | +77% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $162 | +$85 | +52% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $143 | −$140 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 06 | $479 | −$479 | -100% |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | May 06 | $579 | −$579 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 06 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |