trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -36.5% | -42.6% | 33% | 0% | -39.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 40% | 20% | -26.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 56% | 44% | -33.3% |
| all | 16 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 50% | 44% | -32.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 44% | -32.1% |
| 10% | -29.8% | 31% | -38.6% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 25% | -44.5% |
| 20% | -42.8% | 12% | -49.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 21¢ | $54 | $266 | +$212 (+393%) |
| Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 14¢ | 44¢ | $47 | $149 | +$102 (+219%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group | Jun 18 | $74 | −$63 | -85% |
| Will Paraguay finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group | Jun 17 | $88 | +$8 | +9% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Jun 13 | $286 | −$94 | -33% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $75 | +$37 | +50% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | May 13 | $175 | −$139 | -80% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Apr 25 | $45 | +$8 | +18% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Apr 23 | $31 | +$13 | +43% |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | Mar 31 | $17 | +$3 | +20% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 16 | $12 | +$4 | +32% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi | Feb 16 | $5 | +$8 | +156% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26? | Dec 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 2 | Dec 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on | Dec 27 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Australia win? | Dec 26 | $19 | +$8 | +43% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Dec 26 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |