trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 43% | 43% | +3.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 43% | 43% | +3.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 43% | 43% | +3.5% |
| all | 35 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 40% | 29% | -28.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.1% | 29% | -28.9% |
| 10% | -12.4% | 23% | -35.7% |
| 15% | -20.9% | 23% | -41.9% |
| 20% | -28.6% | 14% | -47.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $110 | $109 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $110 | $109 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $219 | +$311 | +142% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $156 | −$155 | -99% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $101 | −$5 | -4% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $220 | +$108 | +49% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 13 | $151 | −$149 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $101 | −$74 | -73% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $109 | +$116 | +106% |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 17 | $843 | −$693 | -82% |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela | Mar 17 | $289 | +$105 | +36% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Mar 16 | $93 | −$43 | -46% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics | Mar 16 | $35 | −$5 | -15% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | Mar 16 | $20 | −$4 | -22% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Mar 16 | $30 | −$1 | -5% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers | Mar 16 | $66 | +$1 | +2% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins | Mar 16 | $30 | +$4 | +14% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Minnesota Twins | Mar 16 | $30 | +$4 | +14% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves | Mar 16 | $20 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will Puerto Rico win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 06 | $180 | −$180 | -100% |
| Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 06 | $216 | −$129 | -60% |
| First Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei | Mar 05 | $50 | +$112 | +222% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 04 | $100 | −$5 | -5% |
| Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 04 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 04 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai | Feb 22 | $100 | −$96 | -96% |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legisla | Feb 08 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election? | Feb 01 | $40 | +$2 | +6% |
| Kings vs. Knicks | Jan 28 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Thunder | Jan 27 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Bulls | Jan 27 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Jan 27 | $15 | −$8 | -54% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Celtics | Jan 27 | $15 | −$12 | -82% |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Jan 27 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Spurs | Jan 26 | $15 | +$73 | +488% |
| Raptors vs. Thunder | Jan 26 | $15 | +$79 | +524% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $149 | +$69 | +46% |