trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -44.2% | -49.5% | 29% | 29% | -3.5% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -44.2% | -49.5% | 29% | 29% | -3.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -44.2% | -49.5% | 29% | 29% | -3.5% |
| all | 22 | -46.7% | -51.8% | 27% | 27% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -51.8% | 27% | -3.7% |
| 10% | -56.4% | 18% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -60.6% | 18% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -64.5% | 18% | -29.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $702 | +$85 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1,407 | +$263 | +19% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$15 | -75% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$22 | -44% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $386 | +$399 | +103% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $169 | −$168 | -99% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $81 | +$44 | +54% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $76 | +$49 | +65% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $86 | −$85 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $71 | +$170 | +237% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $242 | −$239 | -99% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 19 | $90 | −$10 | -11% |