Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:15:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6a2…ff41
other · 12 markets active 19h ago
0.0score
−$5 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses1 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)7 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 5 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 14¢ 25¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+74%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Yes 31¢ 36¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Geek Fam ID 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - Jun 13 $1 $0 -43%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 33% +$1
other 27% −$2
sports 20% −$2
crypto 21% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-58.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -54.1% -58.4% 14% 14% -58.1%
≤30d 7 -54.1% -58.4% 14% 14% -58.1%
≤90d 7 -54.1% -58.4% 14% 14% -58.1%
all 7 -54.1% -58.4% 14% 14% -58.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -58.4% 14% -58.1%
10% -62.4% 14% -62.2%
15% -66.0% 14% -65.8%
20% -69.4% 14% -69.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.76 · official $6.76 (match) · 20 history records