trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 60% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 50% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 50% | 0% | -8.9% |
| all | 25 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 56% | 8% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.8% | 8% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 4% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 4% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 20 | $69 | +$2 | +3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening | Jul 23 | $1 | +$1 | +41% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 03 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 1 | Jun 03 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win Sejong (세종) in the 2025 Korean Presidential ele | Jun 02 | $27 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be 47.0% or higher on June 6? | Jun 01 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair? | Jun 01 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel military action against Iran before June? | May 30 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May? | May 30 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | May 25 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or higher on May | May 25 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | May 25 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | May 25 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | May 24 | $3 | $0 | -7% |